Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.635000 17.708699 20.035594 22.855699 26.201940 30.071642 34.923058
2025-09-07 12.709329 15.303985 18.457233 22.625020 28.070535 35.060898 44.909597
2025-09-14 10.685588 13.368016 16.796834 21.592839 28.279974 37.514561 51.682323
2025-09-21 9.209678 11.854816 15.367298 20.499406 28.031602 39.067158 57.249707
2025-09-28 8.236980 10.863289 14.466788 19.936440 28.339150 41.332069 64.220481
2025-10-05 8.337423 11.332926 15.615364 22.440161 33.568821 52.064783 87.806173
2025-10-12 7.970767 11.082309 15.670859 23.262757 36.235830 59.088958 106.795747
2025-10-19 7.304762 10.320169 14.866381 22.594590 36.262354 61.411365 117.127253
2025-10-26 7.035853 10.129119 14.916361 23.322477 38.823667 68.929030 140.874716
2025-11-02 6.586544 9.616958 14.400353 23.010010 39.408469 72.642487 157.097863
2025-11-09 6.171601 9.125255 13.870694 22.605477 39.742953 75.880860 173.262372
2025-11-16 5.828185 8.722276 13.452037 22.349813 40.324281 79.761811 192.614003
2025-11-23 5.438051 8.230150 12.866318 21.768475 40.257580 82.407558 210.396499
2025-11-30 5.140495 7.872422 12.485752 21.540204 40.918346 86.993121 236.576623
2025-12-07 4.758565 7.346041 11.765680 20.570842 39.809915 86.921526 247.378800
2025-12-14 4.402300 6.842238 11.050519 19.542474 38.430844 85.883752 254.508475
2025-12-21 4.147854 6.499403 10.602914 19.012668 38.129534 87.699060 273.502712
2025-12-28 4.300463 6.876149 11.504049 21.367093 45.074769 111.865728 401.495857
2026-01-04 4.233162 6.854974 11.653507 22.139643 48.278843 126.125869 500.133280
2026-01-11 4.005738 6.528969 11.191088 21.512163 47.734570 128.172454 537.007987
2026-01-18 3.941704 6.499185 11.305195 22.195711 50.838155 143.625198 668.637614
2026-01-25 3.776699 6.271595 11.009330 21.902323 51.182634 149.414381 746.314604
2026-02-01 3.613952 6.039729 10.689742 21.522389 51.224459 154.142191 823.275174